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but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these polls today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precise, why do politicians spend that much money on them? >> they are false idols. they are worshiping the false idol. >> the media are more obsessed with polling than before.
but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at...
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Nov 6, 2012
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if i give him nevada, iowa and wisconsin, 259/206. what does governor romney have to do? he must win the state of florida. tonight the democrats say we think we're still in play. give them truth sear rum, which ones are you likely to lose, they put florida on the list. the obama operation says watch us turn out the vote tomorrow. let's assume it stays with its normal republican dna, we'll keep it there. virginia is a must win for governor romney. we are wired on the ground, we can do it, the key will be the northern virginia suburbs. for the sake of argument, i know democrats are getting mad at me, i'm going to give it to governor romney. if we do that, this could be a decisive state. for the sake of argument, the obama campaign says we have this state. watch what happens tomorrow, especially in evangelical areas. i'm going to this hypothetical to show you how close this would be. it would leave us only ohio and new hampshire. you only get 4 in new hampshire, 18 in ohio. under any scenario, i could switch a few of these in plausible ways. under any scenario, this becomes
if i give him nevada, iowa and wisconsin, 259/206. what does governor romney have to do? he must win the state of florida. tonight the democrats say we think we're still in play. give them truth sear rum, which ones are you likely to lose, they put florida on the list. the obama operation says watch us turn out the vote tomorrow. let's assume it stays with its normal republican dna, we'll keep it there. virginia is a must win for governor romney. we are wired on the ground, we can do it, the...
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Nov 6, 2012
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i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election day. we have advantage on the early vote. we've done significant work with voter registration in that state. we're close in florida. again, significant advantage on early vote. and done a lot of work on voter registration. >> can i run that through the universal political translator and say you're most worried about north carolina and florida? >> those are your words. >> let me bring in david gergen. he's also got a question. >> stephanie, good to see you. tell us what three things we should be looking for tomorrow night as a sense of which way it's going. what are you going to be looking for? >
i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election...
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but what about states like michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, how much are they in play? especially since pennsylvania, president obama won that one, but he's not apparently taking for granted clinton will be campaigning there in his behalf? >> pennsylvania has a million more registered democrats than republicans. so it is a state that republicans have tried to contest in the last few presidential elections and have failed. but there's always sort of enough of an opportunity there that they end up making a last-minute push there. the other thing to remember is that when you're campaigning in western pennsylvania, you're hitting the tv markets in even iowa. so you do get a little bit of a t two-fer there as well. >> going to be a crazy busy couple of days for karen, for everyone. >>> the race for president is in a dead heat, so where do you think the candidates are spending a lot of their time other than ohio? there isn't another place they're spending their time. ohio, ohio, ohio. we'll go live. ...and in the tiniest details. ♪ and sometimes both. nature valley granola
but what about states like michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, how much are they in play? especially since pennsylvania, president obama won that one, but he's not apparently taking for granted clinton will be campaigning there in his behalf? >> pennsylvania has a million more registered democrats than republicans. so it is a state that republicans have tried to contest in the last few presidential elections and have failed. but there's always sort of enough of an opportunity there that they...
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Nov 6, 2012
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nevada six electoral votes, most people think it will go president obama's way. look at virginia, much smaller population than ohio, significant down in the state of florida. 29 electoral votes. if mitt romney comes up short, george w. bush got four in ten latino votes, the polls suggest he will be lucky to get 30%, maybe only 25%, 26% what does the party have to do to -- or will it risk being a nonnational viable party if it can't appeal to latinos in greater numbers? >> well, we'll see who is viable, of course, john, after tonight. the good news about election day is that you see e poll that really counts. we need to do what governor romney has been doing, have a message that appeals across sections of the country, you know, across people of different backgrounds, which is a message that we can have a real recovery, we can solve the budget problems, we can reassert a confidence abroad. these are themes that appeal to everybody. >> does it need a different tone, does the party need a different tone or different policy on immigration? >> well, we need to reach ou
nevada six electoral votes, most people think it will go president obama's way. look at virginia, much smaller population than ohio, significant down in the state of florida. 29 electoral votes. if mitt romney comes up short, george w. bush got four in ten latino votes, the polls suggest he will be lucky to get 30%, maybe only 25%, 26% what does the party have to do to -- or will it risk being a nonnational viable party if it can't appeal to latinos in greater numbers? >> well, we'll see...
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like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the break, if you could run the campaign in the last three days, what would you do if you have the reins of the campaign. if you were in charge of the romney campaign, anna, what would you do at this point? >> i think exactly what they are doing. they're having big rallies. showing a great deal of republican unity. they're showing a great deal of momentum. they've got over a hundred of the top republican surrogates out there fanning around the country, going to the swing states. so you've got to get your base out at this point. pretty mu there are very few und
like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the...
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45% for mitt romney in nevada. those are the exit poll results. remember, these are estimates that reflect the votes of the people we interviewed in select polling places and early voters by the way, we interviewed by phone. they may not necessarily reflect the actual outcome in a particular state, once we get the final vote tally. let's go to john king right now. we're watching all of the states. this is the national vote right now. what we're seeing, 50% to 48%. national vote is nice. what's important are the battleground. >> 270 is the vote that really counts. may be a debate tomorrow, one candidate wins the popular vote and somebody else wins the electoral college. this is the state we're watching most closely. pivotal. 29 electoral votes, almost impossible to show you a scenario, to get to mitt romney to 270 without florida. 89% of the vote counted. 40,000 votes, shy of that, separating two candidates. the question? what's out? what's out? one rural county up here. governor romney will win this county, but tin
45% for mitt romney in nevada. those are the exit poll results. remember, these are estimates that reflect the votes of the people we interviewed in select polling places and early voters by the way, we interviewed by phone. they may not necessarily reflect the actual outcome in a particular state, once we get the final vote tally. let's go to john king right now. we're watching all of the states. this is the national vote right now. what we're seeing, 50% to 48%. national vote is nice. what's...
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nevada, 65% of the electorate is white. but 18% of the electorate latinos, up from 15% four years ago, a growing dynamic, growing diversity. helps president obama. a long-term problems for the republican party and more of this as we go across the country. essentially an even divide. slightly more democrats than republicans and a third of the state describing themselves as independents. when you ask both candidates because of the latino vote, even republicans, they assume will go blue. iowa could be much more contested battle
nevada, 65% of the electorate is white. but 18% of the electorate latinos, up from 15% four years ago, a growing dynamic, growing diversity. helps president obama. a long-term problems for the republican party and more of this as we go across the country. essentially an even divide. slightly more democrats than republicans and a third of the state describing themselves as independents. when you ask both candidates because of the latino vote, even republicans, they assume will go blue. iowa...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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all over nevada, wisconsin and here in ohio. all across this country, i'm going to take you on the road with both campaigns in just a minute. first, we have a very interesting election day from the state of new jersey that they tell you about now. it involves you of victims of super storm, sandy who cannot return home or have no home anymore. our joe johns is following us in washington on this story. but what he is following is that new jersey governor chris christy is now saying that people in the affected areas of new jersey, people affected by hurricane sandy can now vote electronically. they can vote by e-mail and they can vote by fax. it is an interesting turn. joe, what are you finding out about this? >> well, it's a very interesting turn, don. as you said, in response to the super storm, the governor has issued a directive. this is for misplaced voters that can submit ballot applications by e-mail or by fax to the county clerk. the clerk sends them a ballot and then they have to return that ballot by about 8:00 p.m. on tu
all over nevada, wisconsin and here in ohio. all across this country, i'm going to take you on the road with both campaigns in just a minute. first, we have a very interesting election day from the state of new jersey that they tell you about now. it involves you of victims of super storm, sandy who cannot return home or have no home anymore. our joe johns is following us in washington on this story. but what he is following is that new jersey governor chris christy is now saying that people in...
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Nov 5, 2012
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nevada really important. look at florida. all those places were good to the president last time around in 2008. it will be interesting to see how that pans out. i want to show you another thing here. i want to take a look at unemployment. this is really kind of a cool thing to look at, too. when you look at this, this is the unemployment change since february 2009. the more orange you see here, that's much worse. the unemployment rate has gotten worse in some of these places including nevada. we talked about foreclosures there. 11.8%, highest in the country. green is where it's been getting better. iowa, for example, 5.2% in iowa. ohio is 7% in ohio. much better than the 8.7% it was when the president took office. so we'll see how this plays out as well. but these are the two things, soledad, that matter most to people. their home and their paycheck. whether you're getting a job and you can pay for the mortgage, whether you're behind on the loan. those are two things over the past four years that have been a real problem in p
nevada really important. look at florida. all those places were good to the president last time around in 2008. it will be interesting to see how that pans out. i want to show you another thing here. i want to take a look at unemployment. this is really kind of a cool thing to look at, too. when you look at this, this is the unemployment change since february 2009. the more orange you see here, that's much worse. the unemployment rate has gotten worse in some of these places including nevada....
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places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big story after election day. >> if romney loses, they will look at the recriminations -- >> if he loses. >> what would be the debate in the democratic party if the president of the united states were to lose? >> when either side loses, liberals say the democrat wasn't liberal enough. conservatives always say he wasn't conservative enough. i think a lot of democrats would say, one, that obama missed his opportunity in 2009, wasn't aggressive enough on the economy, shouldn't have pursued health care. i don't know if that's the correct analysis. but a lot of people
places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big...
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you listed all the important states, florida, colorado, nevada. but here in ohio, this is the biggest, the most important of the battleground states. the president was here yesterday, made three stops making two stops here. we'll return here again. and the message that the president keeps hammering away on here is how he pushed for the auto bailout. why is that so important? because so many jobs in ohio are tied to the auto industry. they believe this is a message that resonates with voters here. so we expect for the president to continue pushing that theme as he makes his remarks here in ohio again this morning. we're told there is an overthrow crowd and the president is making some remarks to them. they will be coming out here to speak later on. >> all right. dan, thanks so much. of course, we'll take that event as soon as the president does finish up with the overflow crowd and then making his way into that arena in mentor, ohio. >>> the president's opponent mitt romney is having a very busy final weekend of his own campaigning before the elect
you listed all the important states, florida, colorado, nevada. but here in ohio, this is the biggest, the most important of the battleground states. the president was here yesterday, made three stops making two stops here. we'll return here again. and the message that the president keeps hammering away on here is how he pushed for the auto bailout. why is that so important? because so many jobs in ohio are tied to the auto industry. they believe this is a message that resonates with voters...
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and the last of the battleground poll closings, iowa and nevada will begin at 10:00 eastern time. john king is at our election center. break down the math. what are you watching tonight? >> well, erin, you're sitting in ground zero of the presidential election. here is where we begin election day in america. the president at 237 electoral votes, strong and leading. that's the blue on theap lileang, dk blue strong. governor romney, 206, dark red strong, light red leaning his way. pretty safe in these assessments. we'll watch pennsylvania, michigan. assuming this is the line jump going in, let me give you a scenario, the obama campaign is confident about nevada among the tossups. they're confident about wisconsin. republicans watching are saying we'll prove you wrong. but let's go through the hypothetical. iowa as well, the republicif th won those three of the battlegrounds, that gets him to 259. in the romney campaign, they think they're going to win florida. the democrats say, no, we'll prove you wrong here, let's in this hypothetical give governor romney florida. colorado, won of
and the last of the battleground poll closings, iowa and nevada will begin at 10:00 eastern time. john king is at our election center. break down the math. what are you watching tonight? >> well, erin, you're sitting in ground zero of the presidential election. here is where we begin election day in america. the president at 237 electoral votes, strong and leading. that's the blue on theap lileang, dk blue strong. governor romney, 206, dark red strong, light red leaning his way. pretty...
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mitt romney will make stops in florida, ohio, and new hampshire and paul ryan will be in colorado, nevada, and iowa. >> i know what real change looks like. it's because i fought for it. it's because i delivered it. we cannot give up on it now. >> you would hope that president a bomb would live up to its promise to bring people to get it to solve problems but he has not. i will. >> latest poll shows the race is deadlocked. 49 percent of likely voters support obama and 48% support romney. it seems the polls are just like that. tens of millions of people have already cast ballots thanks to early voting. that will have an impact on any of the still undecided voters. >> we are tracking problems at the polls from now until the polls) let us know if you see any problems. visit our website at wjla.com/poll problems. an earthquake rattled new jersey a short time ago. >> jummy olabanji is live at the news desk. >> this earthquake happened just after 1:00 this morning in the town of lynwood new jersey. it is not too far away from manhattan. it is close to the epicenter of where hurricane sandy hit l
mitt romney will make stops in florida, ohio, and new hampshire and paul ryan will be in colorado, nevada, and iowa. >> i know what real change looks like. it's because i fought for it. it's because i delivered it. we cannot give up on it now. >> you would hope that president a bomb would live up to its promise to bring people to get it to solve problems but he has not. i will. >> latest poll shows the race is deadlocked. 49 percent of likely voters support obama and 48%...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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iowa and nevada are too early to call. in florida at least an hour wait in line at already closed polls still lies ahead for some voters. democrats picking up three additional seats. republicans are projected to retain control. >> let's get to john harwood with a look at where we stand in the map room. >> we're still awaiting the seven swing states. florida and the state of virginia are both extremely close races. if president obama wins the state of florida, the race is over. but mitt romney is very, very much in that game. he needs to win florida, north carolina, and virginia and also win the state of ohio to get from where he is now, he's on track now to win 191 electoral votes. president obama is in line for 251. we're going to have to wait until more votes are counted before we know who gets there. >> >> your thoughts of where we stand and what this means for the economy. >> what you have is, of course, what we do know is that the republicans will hold on to the house of representatives. that the ve increase in the nu
iowa and nevada are too early to call. in florida at least an hour wait in line at already closed polls still lies ahead for some voters. democrats picking up three additional seats. republicans are projected to retain control. >> let's get to john harwood with a look at where we stand in the map room. >> we're still awaiting the seven swing states. florida and the state of virginia are both extremely close races. if president obama wins the state of florida, the race is over. but...
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people say nevada, the president won nevada by 12% four years ago. this time his early voting is smaller. there is a need to win by 12%. he only needs to win by one vote. >> when you talk about you're going through the swing states, really it's the state of ohio. is that true all roads go through ohio for the romney campaign? >> yeah. it's really critical there. you look at the different scenarios you need again for mitt romney to take ohio, there are scenarios that we'll show you. he can win without ohio. but that takes everything else. that means he has to get florida. he has to get everything else basically that is leaning or tossup to make that happen. >> what i thought was interesting, we were talking about this earlier, i read an article where ana is credited on it. it's a latino vote in ohio that you never talk about. this election is so close that we are talking about latinos in ohio. and how they could potentially impact this vote. >> i say is that if we really want to get immigration done, some of us have to take it for the cause, put on co
people say nevada, the president won nevada by 12% four years ago. this time his early voting is smaller. there is a need to win by 12%. he only needs to win by one vote. >> when you talk about you're going through the swing states, really it's the state of ohio. is that true all roads go through ohio for the romney campaign? >> yeah. it's really critical there. you look at the different scenarios you need again for mitt romney to take ohio, there are scenarios that we'll show you....
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florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground states. they are down confidence in the obama campaign and don't get too much dispute out of the romney campaign that they will win the state of nevada. then they come to the midwest where you are. they are most confident in the midwest they will carry again. i know republicans watching are saying they'll prove you wrong. they're confident about the state of iowa. that would get the president to 259. takes 270 win. when you ask them about these battleground states, they say they're most confidence about ohio, where you are. the president took that game over. no republicans w
florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground...
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. >> dana: nevada, your favorite state. >> greg: i love nevada. i spent time in carson city against my will. >> bob: chicken ranch. >> greg: no, bob. i have nothing on nevada. tom arnold is not voting for his ex-wife rosanne as nominee for peace and freedom party. this is your ex-wife. support her. >> dana: peace and freedom party? >> greg: the i want more marijuana party. >> bob: what twitter are you wearing snowear today? >> greg: this is in the spirit of money. i want people start making money and get rich again. that's why i'm wearing this. >> bob: one thing, colorado, other states voting on the legalization of marijuana today. draw the youth vote. >> greg: did they get off the couch? >> dana: can you offer the munchies at the polling booth? >> eric: >> bob: sure! >> eric: throw this out. we will know, we may know the fate of the next president. ohio, pennsylvania, virginia, florida. when you know those, it is pretty, pretty locked in when we know those four. >> dana: here we go. when we come back, we'll check in with campaign carl cameron spe
. >> dana: nevada, your favorite state. >> greg: i love nevada. i spent time in carson city against my will. >> bob: chicken ranch. >> greg: no, bob. i have nothing on nevada. tom arnold is not voting for his ex-wife rosanne as nominee for peace and freedom party. this is your ex-wife. support her. >> dana: peace and freedom party? >> greg: the i want more marijuana party. >> bob: what twitter are you wearing snowear today? >> greg: this is in the...
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then colorado, ohio, new hampshire, nevada. only wisconsin and florida, by the way, wisconsin, how about that, wisconsin and florida below the national average on whether government should do less. let's talk about health care. repeal some or all? 49% nationally. leave it or expand it 44%. there's a five-point difference on this and i want you to follow that in the swing states, if you will. as you can see colorado, iowa, ohio and florida all higher than the national average on the repeal, if you will, below, nevada, virginia, wisconsin. have virginia number might surprise some people. all -- look at wisconsin was the only state in the battleground states where the expanded actually -- or not only leave it alone or expanded actually was higher than the repeal some or all. wisconsin, which was ground zero during the whole role of government debate with the unions. finally, who should see tax hik hikes? everyone -- those making over $250,000 or everyone? that was 60% overall. it's something you've heard from the president. he bel
then colorado, ohio, new hampshire, nevada. only wisconsin and florida, by the way, wisconsin, how about that, wisconsin and florida below the national average on whether government should do less. let's talk about health care. repeal some or all? 49% nationally. leave it or expand it 44%. there's a five-point difference on this and i want you to follow that in the swing states, if you will. as you can see colorado, iowa, ohio and florida all higher than the national average on the repeal, if...
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mitt romney will stop in florida and ohio and new hampshire and paul ryan will be in nevada. talking about virginia, how crucial battle ground it will be in the election voters on both sides know how important it is it get out the vote. >> i really believe that we have the vote and it is a matter of getting people to the polls. >> both sides made a push to get people more than put on a bumper sticker, walk the precinct, talk to people. the country is more energized on both sides. >> nearly every poll has essentially a deadlocked race. we know tens of millions have already cast ballots thanks to early voting so this will be the last chance for both sides to try to sway any of those possibly still undecided voters. >> the virginia senate race also going down to the wire. tim kaine holding a rally and joe biden campaigning. george allen campaigning with mitt romney and governor bob mcdonnell in lynchburg and fairfax. stay with abc 7 and wjla.com for all of your election night coverage. we are teaming up with abc news for the presidential race and we have reporters on the ground
mitt romney will stop in florida and ohio and new hampshire and paul ryan will be in nevada. talking about virginia, how crucial battle ground it will be in the election voters on both sides know how important it is it get out the vote. >> i really believe that we have the vote and it is a matter of getting people to the polls. >> both sides made a push to get people more than put on a bumper sticker, walk the precinct, talk to people. the country is more energized on both sides....
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we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996, bob dole. right before the election,
we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have...
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nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your own map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree about. >> again, if you believe the turn-out miles that most poll show, obama would win by 300. five states. >> yeah. >> colorado, iowa, virginia, ohio, new hampshire. otherwise we agree. when we're forced to -- >> wrap up with this. we do this ipad app. >> so we want to pick some closest. the closeest to karl is mark alcott who had the same map. if you put it up, we will send mark something. what are we sending anymore >> out graphed copy of my book. >> okay. there you go. >> i'm sending one to him, too. closest to joe's map is alex tomp kins. >> he agrees with me on
nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your own map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we...
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recovery here across nevada is spotty at best. the best number, though, we have heard while here is that the price of houses has gone up by 1% in the last month. it's the first time that number has risen since 2007. miguel marquez, cnn, las vegas. >>> we'll know after tuesday whether nevada's tough economy becomes a factor in the presidential race. victor? >>> just as nail biting as the presidential election, the balance of power of congress is also one to watch this election season, specifically the senate. right now democrats hold the majority in the senate. but they don't hold it by much. 51 seats to 47 seats for republicans. there are two independents who usually with the democrats. this election 33 seats up for grabs and the democrats are fighting to keep most of them. now, this morning, a look at e the, some of the closely contested races that could tip the scale either way. okay, let's go to, first, massachusetts. with a hotly contested race between republican scott brown and his democratic challenger elizabeth warner. the
recovery here across nevada is spotty at best. the best number, though, we have heard while here is that the price of houses has gone up by 1% in the last month. it's the first time that number has risen since 2007. miguel marquez, cnn, las vegas. >>> we'll know after tuesday whether nevada's tough economy becomes a factor in the presidential race. victor? >>> just as nail biting as the presidential election, the balance of power of congress is also one to watch this election...
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Nov 6, 2012
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the obama campaign is extremely confident because of the latino vote, about nevada. now you're in this position here. can governor romney get there? can he get there without, even if he won colorado, even if he won iowa, and even if he won new hampshire, he's short. what would he have to do? that's the pennsylvania strategy you were just thinking about. he would have to take that away and turn it red. that would make the difference, but it's improbable. the deep blue dna of pennsylvania makes that somewhat improbable. which is why we're going to spend a long time tonight, late campaign polling is not always what happens on election day. i talk to some people in hamilton county, ohio, to cincinnati, they were much more encouraged today than they were last night. if that one is blue at the end of the night, it's not impossible, but it is improbable, i would say, to find a romney path to 270. >> in the past, as we say often, no republican has won the white house without ohio. anderson? >> i just want to quickly check in with our analyst, about what peter hamby just repo
the obama campaign is extremely confident because of the latino vote, about nevada. now you're in this position here. can governor romney get there? can he get there without, even if he won colorado, even if he won iowa, and even if he won new hampshire, he's short. what would he have to do? that's the pennsylvania strategy you were just thinking about. he would have to take that away and turn it red. that would make the difference, but it's improbable. the deep blue dna of pennsylvania makes...
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polls close at 9:00 in wisconsin. 10:00 brings us iowa and nevada. something else to watch, the margins among whites and hispanics. doesn't the president break among 40% in white voters. can romney hold the president under 70% among hispanics. in our most recent poll, the president was only winning 38% of the white vote but was beating romney by 55 points among nonwhite voters. what is the racial composition of the electorate? it is assumed whites would make up just 7 2% of all voters. if they're right, our republican pollster predict an obama win. able to push the white vote up to 76%. our pollsters believe that would mean a good night for mitt romney. one other thing we will know after tonight whether this election is actually over. both sides have already assem e assembled legal teams to handle any shenanigans. legal battles have already begun over in person absentee voting. the state's democratic party filed a lawsuit on sunday after voters complained of waiting in seven-hour lines to cast a ballot. >>> in ohio democrats are battling the secretar
polls close at 9:00 in wisconsin. 10:00 brings us iowa and nevada. something else to watch, the margins among whites and hispanics. doesn't the president break among 40% in white voters. can romney hold the president under 70% among hispanics. in our most recent poll, the president was only winning 38% of the white vote but was beating romney by 55 points among nonwhite voters. what is the racial composition of the electorate? it is assumed whites would make up just 7 2% of all voters. if...
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nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not make up that gap again. >> play the exit polls. natio
nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm...
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nevada both close at 10:00. the president has a small but steady lead there. as the numbers are coming in maybe you can help determine who is going to win. >>> how will they resinate with viewers? >> the two closing arguments i would rather be making the type of one that romney is making than the one that president obama is making. the president is burdened by a record he has basically not done what he said he would do. that is a huge problem for him. so necessarily there is a larger component to dump it on the other guy in his closing argument than it is in romney. romney talking about hope and change. that's what obama said four years ago. that's a more uplifting final argument to make. romney looks happier and comfortable with himself making it. the president seems a little weary a little horse and glad to have this over with. i think that's what romney is doing and saying may be a little more attractive. >> if the president does lose reelection what would be the reason? bill o'reilly has his take on that a little bit lart. >> it is time to brew on this. he
nevada both close at 10:00. the president has a small but steady lead there. as the numbers are coming in maybe you can help determine who is going to win. >>> how will they resinate with viewers? >> the two closing arguments i would rather be making the type of one that romney is making than the one that president obama is making. the president is burdened by a record he has basically not done what he said he would do. that is a huge problem for him. so necessarily there is a...
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if you go by the state of nevada, latino 19%. in the state of virginia only 45% but a growing slice of the population in those growing suburbs that matter and the state of florida. 17%. some of those cubans are more conservative. if the republican party doesn't deal with that issue it risks a very dramatic change in the party. >> we're getting ready to hear the president of the united states deliver his victory speech. he's opinion reelebeen reelected term. we'll have live coverage. we want to see all of what's going on. the excitement there at obama's campaign headquarters. let's go back to anderson. >> historic moment. you'll want to see that live with your families. let's talk about what john king was just mentioning. extraordinary to think about george w. bush getting 44% of the latino vote. what a difference a couple of years make. >> it wasn't because he spoke broken spanish. it was because he tried. he talked in the correct tone. he tried. i would tell you that mitt romney lost this race in the republican primary. he self-
if you go by the state of nevada, latino 19%. in the state of virginia only 45% but a growing slice of the population in those growing suburbs that matter and the state of florida. 17%. some of those cubans are more conservative. if the republican party doesn't deal with that issue it risks a very dramatic change in the party. >> we're getting ready to hear the president of the united states deliver his victory speech. he's opinion reelebeen reelected term. we'll have live coverage. we...
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want to jump to nevada, another critical battleground state. has six electoral votes this time around. it's actually won more than it had back in 2008. president obama won nevada back then, but republicans have actually carried the state in eight of the last 11 presidential elections. miguel marquez is in vegas, and miguel, the president seems to be holding his lead in a state. you see him leading mitt romney 50%-44% back in mav nevada. spent a lot of there. voting for the president by 76%. are we seeing that same type of support this go round? >> it's not entirely clear, but we are seeing a lot of democratic support in the -- for the president in early voting. that ended on friday here in nevada, so now both these campaigns are up to the few voters. it's a small slice. perhaps as many as 70% or 80% of voters across nevada have voted. latino voters in clark and in washu county up in the northwest part of the state are going to be critical to the president's game plan. in washu it's interesting. that's a republican-leaning county, and the democr
want to jump to nevada, another critical battleground state. has six electoral votes this time around. it's actually won more than it had back in 2008. president obama won nevada back then, but republicans have actually carried the state in eight of the last 11 presidential elections. miguel marquez is in vegas, and miguel, the president seems to be holding his lead in a state. you see him leading mitt romney 50%-44% back in mav nevada. spent a lot of there. voting for the president by 76%. are...
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people in ohio here generally think obama has a slight lead also in wisconsin and iowa and nevada. three of those four would give obama the presidency. so the romney campaign knows they're going to have to answer questions about this on the sunday shows tomorrow and on the final days of the race. they circulated a confidential memo to top republican leaders and surrogates. we got our hands on it. this is what they're saying. they're saying they're putting the obama campaign on defense. quote, mitt romney is up or tied with obama in every key battleground state forcing obama on defense in states he won by double digits in 2008 like wisconsin, iowa, michigan, minnesota, and pennsylvania. with the campaigns even on the ground and in early vote, gop enthusiasm is going to carry romney to victory. they're saying energy is on their side and look where obama is campaigning. the reality here is just because the obama campaign is playing defense that still doesn't mean they're going to lose those states. you can play defense and still win. so this is what the romney campaign is talking abou
people in ohio here generally think obama has a slight lead also in wisconsin and iowa and nevada. three of those four would give obama the presidency. so the romney campaign knows they're going to have to answer questions about this on the sunday shows tomorrow and on the final days of the race. they circulated a confidential memo to top republican leaders and surrogates. we got our hands on it. this is what they're saying. they're saying they're putting the obama campaign on defense. quote,...
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it's not just nationally, you look at states like nevada where the white vote is smaller why? because the latino vote is nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 21%. you can't win. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential politics, if democrats keep getting 66%, 70% of the latino vote, watch this. the darker the area, the higher the latino population, so in navy, colorado, and new mexico, it's almost game over. in florida, still waiting for the final results. latino vote critical to the president's lead. if you look at the state of texas in the long term, and if the republicans don't solve this, we might be talking about texas as a
it's not just nationally, you look at states like nevada where the white vote is smaller why? because the latino vote is nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 21%. you can't win. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more...
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if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back to you. >> the following two breaking stories tonight. a commuter train hit and killed a person. no word on what led to the identity of the victim. shuttles have been taking some passengers to their death nations. delays are not expected to have an impact on the commute in the morning. >>> a 75-year-old man was critically injured in an apartment fire. and firefighters found him in the basement of the apartments on generals highway in crownsville. the cause of this fire is still under investigation. >> tonight, a father is facing charges after his 4-year-old child fell on the high-rise apartment
if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back...
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now, let me tell you, nevada, we know what change looks like. and what the governor's offering sure ain't change. giving more power back to the biggest banks isn't change. leaving millions without health insurance isn't change. >> now, kate, all the stops that he's making today, all batt battleground states. wisconsin should have been a blue state, typically is. but with paul ryan on the ticket, it's leaning, it's more in play. president will visit it twice, again, before election day. kate? >> many more battleground states to hit in the final days of the election. jessica yellin, thank you so much. >>> mitt romney is also on a final sprint through the swing states, but minus the positive tone, he was trying to strike in sandy's immediate aftermath. jim acosta is on the road with the romney campaign. >> reporter: wolf, following the romney campaign bus across the state of virginia, we can report the truce is over dialing back the criticism of the president in the aftermath of superstorm sandy and the gop nominee is back on offense. mitt romney t
now, let me tell you, nevada, we know what change looks like. and what the governor's offering sure ain't change. giving more power back to the biggest banks isn't change. leaving millions without health insurance isn't change. >> now, kate, all the stops that he's making today, all batt battleground states. wisconsin should have been a blue state, typically is. but with paul ryan on the ticket, it's leaning, it's more in play. president will visit it twice, again, before election day....